Exit polls on spills in the Georgia Senate

Voters rarely get more attention in the finals, but Georgia seems to be an exception. Two Senate elections are scheduled for January to determine who will control the Senate.

Republicans and Democrats are looking for new voters in the state, but an exit poll on CBS News in the general election suggests that neither party has much room to grow off-base before the January elections. I will. The time is short and it takes a little over two weeks before the early voting begins. In one race, GOP Senator Kelly Loeffler will face Democratic Rev. Rafael Warnock, and in another race, Republican David Perdue will defend his seat against John Osov.

Trey Hood, a professor of political science at the University of Georgia, believes it is important for both parties to attract new voters to the coalition government in order to survive in January. Both parties have several opportunities, but first it is possible that those who voted in November are trying to get them to vote again by January 5.

Email voting

Despite the attack on President Trump’s mail vote, Georgians have accepted the opportunity to vote by mail amid a surge in COVID infections. In November, as in other states, it broke the record of postal voting, demanded 1.3 million absentee votes, a 74% return rate, and returned, with nearly 2.7 million voting early. Voting. Voting by mail is undoubtedly an important part of January’s democratic efforts.

Joe Biden dominated the absentee ballot with about 850,000 votes, compared to Mr. Trump’s about 451,000 votes. That nearly 2: 1 margin helped overcome his shortage in early face-to-face voting — Mr. Biden was nearly 1,251,000 against Mr. Trump’s 1,419,000 — and the president received nearly 588,000. In the election day vote, it was compared to Mr. Biden’s 367,000.

It’s hard to predict how many people will vote in January and what they mean, but so far, nearly 825,000 people have requested a mail vote by Wednesday morning, according to the US Election Project. Georgians must submit their request by January 1st, but the US Postal Service recommends that you submit your request as soon as possible. Voters can register for the outflow until December 7, and early voting will take place from December 14.

Most Georgians may have already made a decision as to who will vote. Voters who spoke to CBS News had no plans to switch votes in the January contest. A week before the November elections, a CBS News poll showed that only 4% of voters were undecided in the Perdue-Ossoff race. Purdue led Osov’s 47.9% at 49.7%, just 0.3% below the complete win. Libertarian Shane Hazel was eliminated in 2.3% of the votes.

Senator Kelly Loeffler was in her race, so Padhu’s vote wasn’t split among Republicans, and he was actually slightly more than President Trump at 49.7% compared to 49.3% for President. I got a lot of votes. Osov ended with 47.9% support, leaving a margin of about 2 points to make up for in January.

In other senators, Leffler and Collins, a special election to fill the seats of former senator Johnny Isakson, won a total of 45% of the votes, surpassing Warnock’s 32.9%. Other Democratic candidates received a total of 15%.

Dorothy Harp, 70, was in the majority of voters who knew who she supported before the election. Harp, a longtime Republican, said he had voted for Purdue and Leffler. And she will support them again in the run-off.

“Senator Purdue has been there for a long time and has a lot of experience,” said Harp, who lives in Atlanta. “I don’t think he needs another candidate, John Osov, because he isn’t qualified. He has no experience.”

Savannah’s longtime Democrat Latre Ana Johnsson, 63, first spoke with CBS News in October during the early voting period. She then voted for Warnock and Osov, saying she would do so again a few weeks later. Voting for Osov was a simple call for her — for one consequential support.

“Barack Obama backs him up 100% and he can’t be mistaken for Barack Obama, so anyone he backs up backs up,” Johnson said.

Padu lost support from white voters

As in the presidential election, 61% of voters in Georgia and white voters in Georgia, who largely supported President Trump, also agreed with Purdue at 69%, but he did well in this group. Was less than. His last Senate bid in 2014 when he won 74% of their votes.

In her race, Leffler gained a larger share (42%) of support from white voters, surpassing other Republican lawmaker Doug Collins with 28% support.

His margin in this group is much lower compared to his last bid, but Perdue won a white voter on a college degree. In 2014, Perdue earned 70% of white college graduates, but this year it’s significantly lower at 56%.

Jeramie Frederiksen, 39, said she voted for Purdue and Leffler because she has a degree in economics and best represents his conservative values.

“It was easy for me,” Frederiksen said. “Conservative values ​​are for working men and women with personal responsibilities, God … and they are a sign of strength.”

Hood, who is also the director of the Center for Research and Research at the University of Georgia, said the foundations of both parties had changed.

“You probably have a high percentage of whites with college education. [voters] He is still a Republican in Georgia compared to Wisconsin and elsewhere, “Hood said. “It’s very interesting that the party’s foundation has changed, in that the working class type is now like the Republican’s foundation.”

Democrats lead independents

Georgian Republicans and Democrats voted primarily within the party, but both Osov and Warnock performed well in November with nonpartisanship. They won 51% and 37% nonpartisan voters, respectively. Six percent of independents chose libertarian candidate Shane Hazel over Osov and Padu.

In the Perdue-Ossoff match, of the 38% of voters identified as moderate, Ossoff received 63% of the votes, while Perdue received only 34%.

“Things are fairly evenly divided between the Republicans and Democrats in terms of total votes, so for the coalition government to survive, someone needs to reach out and get new voters. [parties] It may be a Hispanic voter. ”

Both parties turn to Latin Americans

Both parties are likely to target Latin voters who have more divided support for Democratic candidates. Nearly one-third voted for Rev. Rafael Warnock, and 26% voted for another Democratic candidate, Matt Lieberman. Overall, Latin Americans made up 7% of the state’s voters in November.

Osov had less support from Latin voters (52%) than President Biden, who won 62% of Latin votes in Georgia. Mr. Trump won 37% of the state’s Latin votes. Hazel won about 2% of the total votes, but 4% of the Latin votes.

“Although the Hispanic population continues to grow in Georgia, the white population is shrinking to some extent and the black population is declining to some extent. [are] It’s pretty stable and growing slightly. ”

Black voters vote for Democrats

Black turnout is “important to the Democratic Union,” Hood said. “The spill of the last state-wide senate election with Saxby Chambliss in 2008, I calculated, reduced black turnout from generals from general to spill by 3 points in 2008. So it was very high. “” Chambliss won the spill near 15 points, “and much of it was due to lower black turnout,” Hood added, “it happened again.” If so, it would be very harmful to the outflow of Democratic candidates. “”

Black voters make up 29% of voters in Georgia, and 88% voted for Mr Biden. Black women overwhelmingly voted for John Osov — similar to the presidential election in which Biden won 92% of the votes cast by black women in Georgia. The majority of black voters also went to Warnock. Johnson said Warnock sued her for his life experience.

“He can be involved. Period,” Johnson said. “He grew up here in one of the major projects in Savannah, Georgia … he had a lot of brothers and sisters and everything, and the conclusion is that. [he] Can be involved in our struggle. ”

Election integrity

The Republicans are questioning the Republican Party’s top members, including President Trump and the two Republicans running for the Senate, who have guaranteed the electoral system and the electoral system, including the Governor of Georgia and the Secretary of State. And I have another challenge before them. And it’s still unclear if Republicans can reappear in January to persuade voters to participate in the process they’ve been working on to undermine.

“System integrity is 100% my concern,” said Frederiksen, who lives outside Warner Robins. “If we lose this fairness and honesty, that’s right. Yes, the United States voted that way, but I don’t think they did.”

Exit polls on spills in the Georgia Senate

Source link Exit polls on spills in the Georgia Senate

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