New Atlantic hurricane season forecast depends on strength of El Niño
Colorado State University scientists said in a report released Thursday that the strength of the next Atlantic hurricane season will depend on El Niño, a recurring weather pattern.
of 43 page report predicts hurricane activity and landfall probability in the Atlantic Ocean in 2023. Currently, the report’s authors “expect slightly below average activity,” but “there is considerable uncertainty about how strong the El Niño will be.” An El Niño development could bring more severe storms, but even if the pattern doesn’t develop, scientists say that above-average temperatures in the Atlantic “could lead to an active Atlantic hurricane season.” It warns that it means “still exists”.
Currently, researchers Predict 13 Named Storms The Atlantic region will include 6 hurricanes, 2 of which will be major.
“As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents should be reminded that it takes only one landfall for a hurricane season to be active. We need to prepare in the same way for the seasons,” said the researchers. Said.
Uncertainty surrounding El Niño is normal, researchers say.of latest official predictions The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted a 61% chance of El Niño. A similar phenomenon, La Niña, has a 4% chance of occurring, according to NOAA.
According to NOAA, El Niño is a climate pattern formally called the El Niño Southern Oscillation, or ENSO. El Niño is an ENSO warm period defined by higher-than-usual sea surface temperatures and above-average precipitation over parts of the Pacific Ocean. These weather features then influence weather and climate patterns in the United States and around the world.
NOAA will issue another El Niño update on May 11th.
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Colorado State University scientists said in a report released Thursday that the strength of the next Atlantic hurricane season will depend on El Niño, a recurring weather pattern. of 43 page report predicts hurricane activity and landfall probability in the Atlantic Ocean in 2023. Currently, the report’s authors “expect slightly below average activity,” but “there is considerable uncertainty about how strong the El Niño will be.” An El Niño development could bring more severe storms, but even if the pattern doesn’t develop, scientists say that above-average temperatures in the Atlantic “could lead to an active Atlantic hurricane season.” It warns that it means “still exists”. Currently, researchers Predict 13 Named Storms The Atlantic region will include 6 hurricanes, 2 of which will be major.
“As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents should be reminded that it takes only one landfall for a hurricane season to be active. We need to prepare in the same way for the seasons,” said the researchers. Said. Uncertainty surrounding El Niño is normal, researchers say.of latest official predictions The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted a 61% chance of El Niño. A similar phenomenon, La Niña, has a 4% chance of occurring, according to NOAA.
According to NOAA, El Niño is a climate pattern formally called the El Niño Southern Oscillation, or ENSO. El Niño is an ENSO warm period defined by higher-than-usual sea surface temperatures and above-average precipitation over parts of the Pacific Ocean. These weather features then influence weather and climate patterns in the United States and around the world.
NOAA will issue another El Niño update on May 11th.
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Kelly Breen
Kerry Breen is a news editor and reporter for CBS News. Her reports focus on current events, breaking news and drug use.
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https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast-hinges-on-strength-of-el-nino/ New Atlantic hurricane season forecast depends on strength of El Niño
