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German election races are too close to call as SPD leads narrow

Construction workers, the leader of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), place a barrier in front of the campaign poster for Armin Laschet’s candidate.

JOHN MACDOUGALL | AFP | Getty Images

In just a few days before the Germans vote for Sunday’s federal elections, the latest polls show that the gap between the top two candidates is narrowing.

While the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) remains on the front lines, a new poll by Insa against the German newspaper Built found that the gap was narrowing. The SPD currently leads the conservatives by only 3 percentage points.

The SPD on the left of the center has grown dramatically in popularity since August, with Olaf Scholz, the party’s prime minister candidate, doing well in the campaign trajectory. The party’s manifesto, which includes leftist taxation and social policy, EU support, and flexible debt-braking rules, has also appealed to voters who want to change the status quo when Merkel resigns.

In polls, SPDs won 25% of the votes, while the Christian Democratic Union and Christian Social Union (CDU / CSU) alliance, Angela Merkel’s ruling party, followed by Green at 15%. was. Party.

German voters have tended to support stability in past elections, which means that SPD leads can be lost on election days, which indicates that elections are too close. ..

Nonetheless, SPD’s Schortz, a veteran politician who is now Finance Minister and Deputy Prime Minister, is more general than his CDU / CSU rival Armin Laschet, who was elected to succeed Merkel earlier this year. It seems to be popular with people.

Debate wins

Three television debates between key candidates Scholz, Rachette, and Greens candidate Annalena Baerbock are broad and often combative on issues ranging from climate protection to security and taxes. As the winner of the debate, the public consistently voted for Scholz.

The latest discussion on Sunday night was no exception. Snap voting With Scholz as the clear winner (42% of viewers think this, according to Forsa polls), Baerbett won 27% and Bearbock 25%.

Perhaps there are signs of coming when it comes to post-election coalition negotiations (no one is expected to get enough seats to govern alone). Being an opponent, not part of a new coalition. However, both indicate that they are willing to negotiate with all parties except the alternative for Germany on the far right.

Which party will be part of that future coalition government has dominated the vote as there seems to be no clear and easily achievable coalition.

Various third-party formations are being mobilized. For example, the “Green-Red-Red” alliance between Greens and the SPD and the Far Left Left, or perhaps the “Signal” coalition of SPD, Greens, and the Free Democratic Party (FDP).

Gerlinde Groitl, an assistant professor of international politics and transatlantic relations at the University of Regensburg, told CNBC on Monday: “The interesting story about this election is how unpredictable in the last few weeks it will be to decide who will lead the country after the election. It was about what it was. ” ..

“The FDP really wants to be a coalition government, but there are various gaps in bridging with the Social Democratic Party. It’s far away in terms of taxation, social policy, etc. Perhaps there are some coalition governments. You have a choice. A table starting next Sunday. “

It is also a question of whether the Left Party (which calls for the abolition of the Western military alliance NATO) will be involved in the coalition. This is expected to be unpalatable for many center-right or centre-right mistaken German voters.

In fact, CDU / CSU candidate Rachette used the television debate as an opportunity to raise public concerns about the possibility of the Left Party being included in the future government. Neither Scholz nor Bearbock have denied cooperation with the Left, but Scholz said that any party in the German coalition must commit to NATO.

Groitl says that while SPD has moved “quite to the left”, party candidate Scholz is on the more conservative side of the spectrum within the party and bridges again before such a left-handed alliance is formed. He said the gap would increase.

She predicted “severe negotiations” in the post-election coalition negotiations. It can be “dragged for a while”.

German election races are too close to call as SPD leads narrow

Source link German election races are too close to call as SPD leads narrow

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