Lexington-Fayette, Kentucky 2022-05-18 20:50:24 –
Federal forecasters say Hawaii and the Central Pacific basin should expect two to four hurricanes, tropical cyclones, or tropical storms this year.
The annual US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecast predicts that there is an approximately 60% chance of a sub-average season. An average of about 4-5 tropical cyclones occur annually in the Central Pacific region.
The Hawaiian hurricane season lasts from June 1st to the end of November. August and September are historically active months. Officials said sub-average sea temperatures associated with La Niña, east of Hawaii, where storms occur, were taken into account in this year’s forecasts. The last major hurricane that hit the state was Hurricane Iniki in 1992.
“We expect less activity in the Central Pacific region this year than in the normal season.” Said Matthew Rosen Clans, NOAA’s leading seasonal hurricane forecaster at the Climate Prediction Center. “The ongoing La Niña phenomenon can cause strong vertical wind shear, making it more difficult for hurricanes to develop and move to the Central Pacific.”