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Iran will be bold if the United States does not act against Saudi Arabia

The Joe Biden administration last week was announced by Mohammed bin Salman, the crown prince of Saudi Arabia and the de facto ruler of the kingdom. Approve hit squad He was invited from the United States to the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul to “kill or catch” the nasty journalist Jamal Khashoggi and was killed in 2018. Still, Washington seems to have done little about it, at least so far.

The report was a declassified and sanitized version. Discovery of 2018 CIA The prince was liable, mostly based on Turkish spies who tapped the smartphones of 15 Saudi hit teams who eavesdropped on the consulate. Donald Trump chose to do nothing, despite doubting Prince Mohammed’s innocent profession. However, President Biden threatened to treat Saudi Arabia as a Paria. Well, after a long accumulation, his team seems to say: Well, it’s complicated.

It only cultivates doubts about US credibility shared by US friends and enemies. Biden is determined to revive by declaring the United States back.

Trump penalized 17 Saudis. Currently 76 is the new “Khashoggi prohibited “ To prevent a regime that persecutes opposition and journalists. It also targets the Rapid Intervention Force, an extraterritorial attack force that acts as a guard for the Crown Prince Praetorian Guard. Ahmad al-Assiri, The former Deputy Secretary of Saudi Intelligence is subject to full sanctions. Prince Mohammed is not sanctioned.

The United States “wants to readjust, not break relationships [it] To be more in line with our interests and values, “Secretary of State Antony Blinken said..

Murder, especially how KhashoggiA fascinating courtier and Washington Post columnist, slaughtered, is not about the tone. Brigadier General Maher Mutreb, one of the prince’s bodyguards and head of the hit team, was recorded by Turkish intelligence asking, “Have the sacrificial animals arrived yet?” One minute before Khashoggi enters the consulate.

Even if the Biden administration refuses to impose sanctions on him, publicly proclaiming the future king of Saudi Arabia as responsible will have consequences. As the report reveals, after a series of Shakespeare’s palace coups in 2017, all security and intelligence agencies in the kingdom responded to Prince Mohammed. It dismissed Saudi Arabia’s explanation that the freelance rendition did not go well, stating that this was not a fraudulent operation, but that the prince was fraudulent.

Paradoxically, taking no action against Saudi Arabia would bold Iran, a rival of Riyadh’s regional hegemony for its own reasons for not believing in the United States. Tehran has declined an invitation to talk with the United States on the resumption of the 2015 nuclear deal, which Trump unilaterally withdrew in 2018.

But even under Biden’s former boss Barack Obama, the United States was widely distrustful. Obama first blinked at a standoff with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Illegal settlement on the west bank of the Jordan River. He also refused to force himself “Red line” For Bashar al-Assad’s use of nerve agents against Syrian rebels. Trump brought his unique brand turmoil to the area, but the memories are long.

Another paradox is that the Biden team’s weak reaction to saying it was a Saudi Arabian crime beyond redemption could push Gulf Arabs, including Saudi Arabia, into a military alliance with Israel against Iran. .. This will be a major step away from the diplomatic normalization of Israeli-Gulf relations. This is considered the result of the Trump administration, but is also endorsed by Biden.

Given Israel’s temporary threat of bombing Iran’s nuclear facilities, it risks dragging the United States into war with Iran, much like it seeks to revive Obama-era detainees with Tehran. May increase. This is certainly complicated.

david.gardner@ft.com

Iran will be bold if the United States does not act against Saudi Arabia

Source link Iran will be bold if the United States does not act against Saudi Arabia

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