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It’s not clear if China is really on the side of Iran in nuclear negotiations: researchers

The Iranian flag can be seen on May 24, 2021 in front of the building of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) headquarters in Vienna, Austria.

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China may appear to represent Iran’s demands in the nuclear negotiations in Vienna, but it is not clear whether Beijing will remain on Tehran’s side as their political alliance is not “solid”. , Said a political expert at the Middle East Institute in Singapore.

Indirect negotiations between Iran and the United States began on Monday. The two countries are aiming to revive the 2015 nuclear agreement.Iran has signed a contract — officially Joint Comprehensive Action Plan — With the United States, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United Kingdom

However, under President Donald Trump’s administration, the United States unilaterally withdrew from the agreement in 2018, imposing severe sanctions on Iran. Since then, Iran also violated the agreement He then increased his uranium stockpile and strengthened them to levels above the JCPOA parameters.

“While the battle between the United States and Iran is taking place, Iran is trying to get its own teammates from these P5 forces, and the United States is doing the same,” said Asif Shuja of the National University of Singapore’s Middle East Institute. I have. ” Refer to other signers.

Analysts do not expect significant progress from negotiations, Suspended on Friday and scheduled to resume in the middle of next week, According to Reuters..

Many give-and-takes occur when people meet in person, so as far as all these parties are concerned, their position can change.

Asif Shuja

National University of Singapore Middle East Institute

Tehran said all sanctions imposed when the United States abandoned the deal three years ago must be lifted, but Washington hopes Iran will return to compliance before bailouts are given. There is.

“The positions of all these forces are not rigorous and can change,” Shuja said, adding that it is currently unclear who belongs to which team.

Is China Supporting Iran?

Talk to CNBC “Scooke Box Asia“On Tuesday, he said the success or failure of the US strategy for Iran depends in part on the relationship between Washington and Beijing.

There was also Report that China bought Iranian crude oil Despite US sanctions.

The income will allow Iran to “say no or take a tougher position at the nuclear negotiation table,” Ben Tareburu said.

Alliances are not “solid”

Russia and China may appear to be on the Iranian side, but when they meet face-to-face, things can still change, Shuja said.

“If it was solid … then the party wouldn’t have gone there,” he said. “As far as all these parties are concerned, the position can change, because when people meet in person, a lot of give and take happens.”

He pointed it out Beijing and Moscow, along with other permanent members of the UN Security Council, voted to impose sanctions on Iran in 2006...

“It’s about broader diplomacy, or the broader purpose of these great powers like Russia and China,” he said.

“Russia and China are the most important to Iran, but from the perspective of Russia and China, Iran is not the most important player,” he added.

However, he admitted that China is “consistently supporting” Iran.

Amir Hanjani, a non-resident fellow of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, said that relations between the United States and Russia and China have “very dramatically collapsed since the nuclear agreement was first signed. “.

“Iran uses Russia and China as cushioning material for the EU and the US,” he said on CNBC. “Capital Connection” on Monday.

— CNBC’s Natasha Turak contributed to this report.

It’s not clear if China is really on the side of Iran in nuclear negotiations: researchers

Source link It’s not clear if China is really on the side of Iran in nuclear negotiations: researchers

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