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Migrant deaths data analysis and limitations | Local news – Tucson, Arizona

Tucson, Arizona 2021-12-06 19:00:00 –

Stars have found that cross-border migration corridors, which have many borders without walls in Arizona, also usually kill more than other corridors in a particular year. And more dead tend to be found in corridors that are farther away in a particular year.

A wallless border between walls and Arizona

In the first model, a 1 percentage point increase in the share of Arizona’s wallless border corridors is typically estimated to increase deaths by about 4 percent.

For example, the Immigration Corridor west of Lukeville currently has the smallest share of Arizona’s wallless borders. Almost everything is surrounded by walls. In effect, Arizona’s wallless border share is 0%.

On the other hand, the west corridor of Nogales, where Sasabe is located, currently has about 4 miles of Arizona’s wallless border, which is about 3% of the state’s wallless border.

Based on data from 2015 to 2020, in our model, if 10 people die in the west corridor of Lukeville in a year, 14% in the west corridor of Nogales in the same year, or about in total. We predict that 11 people will die.

Remoteness: Average distance from a city or town

Some corridors without walls are all located away from the city center along the border. However, to quantify remoteness, Star took all the dead in each corridor and calculated the average distance from the nearest town or city annually.

Migrant deaths data analysis and limitations | Local news Source link Migrant deaths data analysis and limitations | Local news

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