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Millions voting for the end of Angela Merkel’s era

The voting booth is decorated with the German flag.

Peter Endig | DPA | Getty Images

Millions of Germans are heading to a face-to-face election between Germany and Europe in Sunday’s elections as Chancellor Angela Merkel prepares to resign after taking office for 16 years.

Voting at polling stations across Germany takes place between 8 am and 6 pm local time, but many have already voted by mail. Exit polls showing election results will be announced shortly after voting.

Recent German elections couldn’t cast a real surprise, and Merkel’s reelection was usually guaranteed. However, election races have been widespread since she announced her resignation, forcing voters to look elsewhere for new leadership.

The voter vote for the September 26 vote attracted experts and the general public alike. The Greens surged in popularity and took the lead in polls at some point in April. It will then be overtaken by the Social Democratic Party, which has maintained a slight lead in recent weeks.

Meanwhile, Merkel’s conservative alliance between the Christian Democratic Union and the Christian Social Union has been stuck in the flock, with the party second only to SPD in recent polls.

Still, last week’s vote was too close to vote, while SPD was 25%, CDU-CSU was about 22%, and the Greens were about 16%.

Behind it is 11% professional business, the liberal Liberal Democratic Party, with right-wing options for Germany with the same voting share. The Left Die Linke party is seen in 6% of the votes.

candidate

German voters are known to favor stability over charismatic leadership, and Merkel has been in power for 16 years, presiding over what many Germans have considered the country’s “golden age.” ..

Olaf Scholz, a candidate for SPD’s prime minister, is against a “safe pair of hands” of power, given his current role as SPD and his current government minister and deputy prime minister. You may have benefited from this preference. Union with CDU-CSU.

Other candidates for the prime minister, Armin Laschet of the CDU-CSU and Annalena Baerbock of the Greens, have had mediocre success during the campaign and faced some controversy and questions as to whether both are suitable for coaching. It has been.

In particular, CDU’s Rachette plummeted his reputation due to the disappointing track of the campaign and poor performance on the public stage. He was caught up in the laughter of the camera when he visited a devastating flooded German town and later apologized, but failed to enhance his official personality.

Despite Merkel’s attempts to revive the potential for Rachette’s success, the three television debates among the key candidates could not lead to a reversal of the popularity of the CDU-CSU.

The previous coalition

The 2021 vote is again unpredictable due to a number of factors, including the split of votes to indicate that there are no obvious winners and the expected amount of mail ballots this year.

Deutsche Welle was already common in Germany before the pandemic, but election organizers voted 50% this time, up from 28.6% in the 2017 elections, given the situation in Covid-19. I’m expecting.

What is certain is that the next government is a coalition and no party is expected to get enough seats to govern alone. Analysts have spent months speculating on what the coalition government could take and whether the CDU-CSU could oppose it after years of power. In any case, the simultaneous negotiations can take weeks, or even months.

Karstennickel, deputy director of research at Teneo Intelligence, said in a note Wednesday that “each of the two major parties (SPD and CDU / CSU) could form a coalition between the Greens and the centre-right Liberal Party (FDP). There is. “

“SPD, Greens, the Left Communist Government of the Post-Communist Left, and perhaps another grand coalition of SPD and CDU / CSU may be numerically possible, but not the first. Choice,”

“Party leadership will evaluate official results at a meeting on Monday morning and provide formal exploratory talks to potential coalition partners. These talks and subsequent coalition negotiations are untested tripartite coalitions. It can take weeks because it may need to be built. As in 2017, the coalition negotiations can fail late and we need to look for alternative combinations. ” rice field.

Angela Merkel has been the face of the CDU and Germany for 16 years.

Volker Hartmann | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Notable factors are whether a slight improvement in the CDU-CSU poll will turn into last-minute momentum on election day and Greens fares.

“Since Annalena Baerbock returned to third place, she has performed solidly in a television debate, with two male candidates presenting themselves instead of competing with each other. Expected in cities and postal votes. Coupled with the high turnout, Greens’ results can still be surprising. “

Economy

Mark Kas Babich, a macro research analyst at Barclays, said the economy would be challenged by Europe’s largest company, which is in command at the Prime Minister’s Office.

“With the view that pandemic savings and supply disruptions are a major risk, regardless of the outcome of the election, a strong economic recovery is underway and the short-term outlook remains strong, but some. Challenges are imminent. Medium-term outlook It depends on how the new government will tackle them. “

Journalists and party members see the screens of Press Center (LR) Olav Schortz, German Finance Minister, Deputy Prime Minister, Social Democratic Party (SPD) Prime Minister and Candidate Armin Laschet, North Rhein Westfalia Prime Minister, Christian Democratic Union I am. (CDU) Candidate Prime Minister attending an election television debate in Berlin on September 12.

JOHN MACDOUGALL | AFP | Getty Images

“Germany faces key challenges such as implementing and paying for green transitions, the need for digital transformation, rapid aging, slowing productivity growth and dependence on exports, including China.”

Whether Germany will continue to be the driving force for Europe’s growth is likely to depend on the economic policies that the next German government will implement to overcome these key challenges, Kus Babich said. “There is a high degree of uncertainty about the outcome of the elections, and polls could result in a three-party coalition where the new German government defines economic policy agendas during coalition negotiations and the first outcomes materialize from 2023. It suggests that it is expensive. “

Millions voting for the end of Angela Merkel’s era

Source link Millions voting for the end of Angela Merkel’s era

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