Experts warn that the eastern United States needs to prepare for the next barrage Tropical storm This year. The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season could be above average for the seventh consecutive year, according to the latest forecasts from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season from June 1st to November 30th is 70% likely to result in 14-21 named storms or wind storms above 39 miles per hour (63 km / h). I have. 6 to 10 hurricanes with wind speeds of 74 mph (119 km / h) or higher.According to 3-6 major hurricanes with wind speeds of 111 mph (179 km / h) NOAA (Opens in a new tab)..
According to the report, the first storm of the year will be named Alex, and the next four will be named Bonnie, Colin, Daniel and Earl. National Hurricane Center (Opens in a new tab).. Only 21 names starting with the letters A through W are given to the storm each year before the Greek letters are assigned instead. The new prediction means that all 21 storm names could be used for the third consecutive year. With 21 storms in 2021 Record-breaking 30 storms It was formed in 2020.
The current “La Niña” event, which produced warmer water in the Atlantic and Caribbean regions, is partially responsible for above-average seasonal forecasts. La Niña, which means “little girl” in Spanish, is a climate pattern of the Pacific Ocean, where the waters of the tropical eastern Pacific are colder than average and trade winds are blowing stronger than usual. This can affect the weather around the world and can lead to even more severe hurricane seasons. According to NOAA (Opens in a new tab)..
Previous predictions from researchers University of Arizona (Opens in a new tab) On April 28, it suggested that the La Niña phenomenon could disappear. This means a hurricane season just above average. (Sea surface temperature is one of the main factors contributing to the size, frequency and strength of hurricanes. The higher the water temperature, the stronger the storm.)
Fortunately, on May 18th NOAA announces (Opens in a new tab) The Central Pacific hurricane season, which also begins on June 1, is likely to be less active than average. In the Central Pacific Hurricane region, only 2-4 tropical cyclones are predicted, compared to an average of 4-5 tropical cyclones. According to the statement, this is because the La Niña phenomenon causes wind patterns that help prevent the growth of storms in the region.
Even without the La Niña phenomenon that triggers storms, the hurricane season is becoming more and more active as the world’s sea surface temperature rises as a result. Climate change..
“We need to refocus on this new reality of coping with this change in the environment and how it affects us every day,” said New York City Mayor Erik Adams. Stated. NOAA press conference (Opens in a new tab) May 24th in New York City’s Emergency Management Department.
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New York City was one of the most affected areas of the extratropical cyclone, the biggest storm in 2021. Reached a maximum wind speed of 150 mph Affects and reveals nine states (240 km / h) Seen from more than a million miles away from Earth.. By the time Ida took place, hurricane winds, rainfall, storm surges, and tornadoes caused an estimated $ 75 billion in damage. NOAA authorities reported (Opens in a new tab) April of this year.
Individual storms are also becoming stronger due to climate change. A study published in the journal in February 2021 Environmental research letter Bermuda hurricane wind speeds have more than doubled in the last 66 years due to rising seawater temperatures in the region.
The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is actually More active than expected.. Over time, we’ll see if this year’s NOAA forecasts are correct, but experts say people should start preparing for the storm right now.
“It’s important to remember that it only takes one storm to damage your home, neighborhood, and community,” NOAA administrator Richard Spinrad said in a briefing.
Originally published in Live Science
NOAA predicts a above-average hurricane season in 2022.
Source link NOAA predicts a above-average hurricane season in 2022.