Denver, Colorado 2021-12-27 20:37:26 –
Colorado seems to be heading for another COVID-19 surge, just four weeks after the delta fuel wave began to break.
Hospitalization on Saturday bottomed out and 992 were treated with confirmed COVID-19. By Monday afternoon, it had risen to 1,018.
It is not uncommon for hospitalization to increase slightly after vacation. People who postpone seeking care begin to feel sick so much that they can no longer wait. But given the recent surge in new enrollments, that’s probably not the only factor, said Beth Carlton, associate professor of environmental and occupational health at the Colorado School of Public Health. The Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment reported on Monday that 227 people were admitted to the hospital with COVID-19, compared to 66 a week ago.
“Omicron has arrived in Colorado and is spreading like a wildfire,” she said.
As in the previous wave, the percentage of tests that returned positive first increased, followed by new cases and hospitalizations. An average of 12.6% of COVID-19 tests return positive in the week ending on Sunday. This is the highest rate since mid-November 2020. If the positive rate is very high, the actual number of cases can be significantly higher than in the state. I found.
As it was, the State Department of Health recorded 22,658 new cases in the week ending Sunday. The state last discovered more cases in early December 2020.
According to Carlton, there is a growing consensus that people infected with the Omicron mutation are less likely to be hospitalized than those infected with the delta type, but how low the risk is and everyone’s individual risk is reduced. It is not clear if this is the case.
However, even if the risk for each individual is low, the risk to the entire population can be significant. Omicron has shown that it can infect a huge number of people, and if even a small percentage of them become seriously ill, hospitals can be pushed to the limit. Colorado can have peaks as high as November. This is comparable to the worst point of December 2020, even an “unprecedented” level of hospitalization, Carlton said.
“I think the open question is how high the demand for hospitals will be,” she said.
Studies show that Omicron can be 20% to 80% less severe than Delta. By comparison, the original version of COVID-19, which hit the United States in March 2020, was about 50% less serious than Delta, Carlton said. Of course, more treatments are available now, and some people who died in early 2020 will survive now, but even less severe versions of the virus are fatal to non-immune people. She said it was possible.
“We are most worried about unvaccinated adults,” she said.
So far, vaccination is not as effective against Delta, but it seems to prevent most serious illnesses caused by Omicron. The third shot provides additional protection, British studies It turns out that people who had boosters may still get breakthrough cases with symptoms. Generally, these symptoms are mild.
Fortunately, Omicron is so contagious that there will soon be a shortage of people infected, Carlton said. That said, she says, those who are worried about risk know that they can upgrade their masks and possibly limit their social involvement for weeks and not have to maintain it for months. I did.
“This wave will be faster,” she said.
Omicron spreading as Colorado COVID hospitalizations tick up Source link Omicron spreading as Colorado COVID hospitalizations tick up