Colorado Springs, Colorado 2020-10-17 20:00:00 –
You were probably surprised to see in a mail vote that we have 21 different options for the president. Many of those choices came from political parties that were rarely or unheard of. But about 97% of us vote for Democratic or Republican tickets.
It is true that one of the biggest changes in recent years in Colorado and elsewhere has been a significant increase in the number of independents (independents) in voter registration or at least their attitude.
But there is no independent party. We are a two-party system, but if you look closely, there are fascinating shifts and reorganizations in many states, but not so much here in Colorado.
A survey of 50 states over the last 40 years has revealed that while many states have been moving democracy more strongly over the years, many others have been moving more strongly to Republicans as well. It was.
The end result is to reduce the number of intermediate states in which either party can win. Colorado is considered “Democratic” but one of those sandbars.
The survey elected presidents, governors, and senators in all 50 states from 1980 to 2018. Results for each state were averaged every 10 years, and results for the 1980s were compared to those for the 2010s.
For example, California has moved 13.9 percent points from 53.2 percent Republicans in the 1980s to 60.7 percent Democrats in the 2010s. As California moved to democracy more strongly, it became more difficult for Republicans to win state-wide elections. California has become a “one-party system.”
Even more dramatic changes have taken place in the neighboring state of Oregon. It shifted 13.1 percentage points of democracy from 56.9 percent Republicans in the 1980s to 56.2 percent democracy in the 2010s.
It should be noted that these significant changes in the average vote for one party or another party do not mean that other parties occasionally cannot win state-wide elections. For example, Maryland and Massachusetts are one-party Democratic nations, each of which now has a popular Republican governor.
A similar shift to Democrats struck the north east coast of Washington, DC. Two populous states, New York and New Jersey, created the Democratic tide there.
New York has shifted democracy by 11 points from 54.5% democracy in the decade of the 1980s to 65.5% democracy in the 2010s. New Jersey surged democracy by 6.4% from 51.4% Republicans in the 1980s to 55% democracy in the 2010s.
First conclusion: The Democratic Party is undergoing a state change. The major regions of the transition to Democratic Party are the states on the Pacific coast and the upper states on the North Atlantic coast.
Next, I searched for a state that had a two-party system in the 1980s, but then started voting for the Republicans. Tennessee shifted its impressive 17 percent points to Republicans, becoming 64.5 percent Republicans in the 2010s. North Dakota transferred 14.7 points to the Republican Party, landing 67.4% of the Republican Party in the 2010s.
With the exception of Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and Virginia, the entire southern United States was eligible for a Republican replacement. The days when Republicans had strong roots in New England, the Midwest, Nixon, and Reagan’s California are gone. The South is currently part of the largest Republican Party of the 50 states, with a constantly growing number of Republicans.
Second conclusion: Partisan shifts are as prominent in Republicans as in Democrats. Today, the main Republican strength centers are in the South, Rocky Mountain, and High Planes.
Overall, we classified 12 states as one-party Democrats and 19 states as one-party Republicans. As a result, 19 states are not involved in either major political party. These are states where either Democrats or Republicans can win state-wide elections. These are states that have not been dominated by one-sided parties so far.
These six Midwestern states were located in the Midwestern states of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio, and Wisconsin. Florida was the most populous state in this middle category. In the 1980s, it was 51.2% Republican and in the 2010s it was 50.1% Democrat. The list of intermediaries includes other populous states such as Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Virginia.
Conclusion 3: There are 19 states that have not made a transition to one-party rule on behalf of Democrats or Republicans. These main Midwest delegations come from the Midwest, which tends to upset the balance of power in the US presidential elections between the east and west coasts of democracy and the south and far west of the Republicans. The reason is.
Colorado is currently one of the 19 intermediary states. The average for the 2010s was 52.2% democracy. Colorado has a two-party system compared to the other 50 states, but in recent years it has been leaning towards the Democratic Party. Colorado Republicans may not be as optimistic as this season, but at least for now, they occupy three of the seven seats of the delegation to the U.S. House of Representatives, which is the majority of the University of Colorado board. You need to remember. We’ve seen Hank Brown, Bill Owens, John Suthers, Cory Gardner and others win state-wide races over the last two decades.
The United States is one of the few two-party nations in the world. Despite many Americans wanting more choices, our election process and electoral colleges (and all their winners in 48 states and the District of Columbia) are powerful. It discourages third parties. The two-party system is here to stay in the near future. But that does not mean that, as we have shown, loyalty within the parties does not change or change. It’s happening all the time and more than generally accepted.
Tom Cronin and Bob Loevy write about Colorado and national affairs. See shift state data in