Panama City, FL –
TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) – Tropical development continues to be more likely in Campeche Bay – in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico – by the end of the week.
An area of showers and storms has been monitored by the National Hurricane Center for the past four days and a tropical depression is likely to form by Thursday evening or Friday.
Currently, the low pressure area continues to meander into Campeche Bay and will continue to do so for the next 24 hours or so with little change in organization. By Thursday evening or Friday, the low will begin to drift northward into the Gulf of Mexico.
There will likely remain a weaker system as it moves north through the west and central Gulf of Mexico. Abundant tropical moisture will accompany the system as it moves shoreward somewhere along the northern Gulf Coast states.
Rainfall totals could exceed six inches at localized locations, but it is too early to say where. Moisture will move inland and east, bringing the heavy rains to parts of Mississippi and northern Georgia.
The main dangers associated with this system are likely to be flash floods. Wind impacts will be minimal as the developing system is not expected to be a strong storm. As with any tropical system affecting land, there will be a low threat for an isolated tornado as well as waterspouts moving towards the shore in the heaviest bands of rain.
Storm surge heights will be lower, this is a weaker storm, but a water level rise of two to four feet could occur just to the right of where the storm makes landfall.
Tropical Storm Bill
The second named storm of the season formed off the coast of the Carolinas on Monday evening. Tropical Storm Bill formed quickly but was also short lived. It moved northeast into the Atlantic away from the United States and was never a threat to land. It is now post-tropical and the National Hurricane Center is no longer issuing an advisory.
No other area of the Atlantic is monitored for tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean Sea, or the open Atlantic Ocean.
Tracking the Tropics: Development in southern Gulf likely by end of week Source link Tracking the Tropics: Development in southern Gulf likely by end of week