Las Vegas, Nevada 2020-10-18 05:00:00 –
Da’Shaunae Marisa / New York Times
Sunday, October 18, 2020 | 2:00 am
Westerville, Ohio — Katerabinovic does not call himself an activist.
A few weeks ago, a 29-year-old realtor wrote a personalized message to voters in his home state of Ohio on behalf of Joe Biden. She sent a text message with an undecided friend during the debate, claiming a Democratic candidate. And she’s helping organize a voter drive in the suburban Cleveland district.
But a political activist? Impossible.
“”If I talked to me a year ago, that’s something I’ve never described myself, “Rabinovic said. “I’m a mom with a hard feeling.”
Four years ago, Rabinovich struggled with which candidate to support. In the last few minutes of voting, she entered a still uncertain booth. She left with a vote for Donald Trump.
“I wondered,’Oh, what’s the worst thing that can happen,'” she recently recalled. “I feel guilty.”
For most of the country, a polarized view of the president and his chaotic American political turmoil has sprung up since 2016, when he squeezed a narrow victory for the electoral college while losing popularity votes. Is not … Still, there is a demographic group that changed its mind: white women in the suburbs.
In 2016, the suburbs boosted Trump’s victory, and exit polls showed that Trump won four points in these areas. Now, polls in Swing State show that the president has lost those voters in a historic margin, boosted by record gender inequality. According to a recent poll by the New York Times and the University of Siena, Biden leads 23 points among women in the suburbs of the fierce battle state. Race is tied among men.
Mr. Trump’s suburban deficit has emerged as a serious issue for his reelection bid, and the president is begging women to go home.
“Women in the suburbs, would you like me?” The president said at a rally this week in Johnstown, Pennsylvania. “Please. Please.”
For Rabinovic, the damage of the last four years is irreversible. On a chilly October night in the backyard on the outskirts of Columbus, she met with three other women, the mothers of all toddlers, to discuss their political evolution.
Not all of them voted for Trump, but they all regret 2016. For them, the president’s words and actions were taught in churches and schools, forcing them to scrutinize their deep-seated, more conservative political identities. Family — and even more personal: their morals and the values they want to give their children.
Perhaps the most worrisome thing for the president and his party is that the shift could surpass Trump in this year’s vote and last longer than him. Women armed with wine tumblers explained how Trump stopped them from the Republicans they once supported. Republicans now see it intertwined with the president’s split rhetoric.
“I can’t imagine a Republican candidate gathering behind me,” said Hannah Dasgupta, a housewife and conservative housewife with two school-age children. “Wow, it’s amazing to think about it. It’s a big start.”
Dasgupta, 37, said he had never liked Trump but couldn’t help Hillary Clinton in 2016.
For Dasgupta, who grew up in a Christian school, opposition to abortion was at the heart of her political beliefs. Dasgupta voted for libertarian candidate Gary Johnson after President Clinton offered an apology-free defense of abortion rights at the final presidential debate.
“”Crazy is like not knowing if he’s sitting next to me, “Dasgupta said. “I don’t think I could identify him, but those Republicans have deep roots and the problem of abortion is strong.”
Over the last four years, Dasgupta’s view of abortion has shifted to the left as her opinion on the president sank. She was tired of explaining his actions to young children, including his comments at the City Hall this week questioning the effectiveness of wearing masks.
She states that she spends her time linking her support to Biden to her role as a mother and teaching her children basic skills such as sharing and speaking with respect. This is a feature that the president believes is lacking.
“In the last four years, my kids have grown and grown more than he has in terms of how he talks to others and how he talks to others,” she said. It was.
Katie Paris, founder of Red, Wine and Blue, an all-female team of PTA Moms and Digital Divas focused on organizing female voters in the suburbs of the Democratic Party of Ohio, often hears such feelings. I will.
She believes that Democrats must be aware of the intimate nature of their politics in order to maintain the support of women like Dasgupta. The philosophy of political organization in Paris is a mixture of the well-known Democratic data guru David Proof and the virus self-help star research professor Brenney Brown.
Paris, which gathered a group of women around a backyard fireplace, believes that “courageous conversation” is needed to move away from political identity. And ways to encourage those who follow that path include “being vulnerable to each other about what is happening at the individual level in our lives.”
Many suburban women are already skeptical of Trump, she said, but may hesitate to express their political views, especially to young campaign organizers from outside the state. Her group has been hosting women who have lived in suburban communities for over a decade and are leveraging the existing network of class parents and teeball coaches.
“”We can’t leave all this to black voters to bear all the weight in Ohio, “added white Paris. “It will take us all.“
She and her team are particularly proud of their presence on social media. One of the recent viral efforts featured posting a photo of herself on an apron or curler with a Democratic campaign sign while a woman had a cocktail.
Paris and the Democratic Party want to repeat the strategy of gaining control of the party in 2018 and increase the margin among women in the suburbs of the Swing district.
They have several reasons for optimism. Four years ago, Trump scored 8 percentage points in Ohio. Now, polls show tie competition. Still, Ohio could stay out of reach of Democrats this year. The 2018 strategy was far less successful than elsewhere in the Midwest. The popular incumbent Senator Sherrod Brown was the only Democrat to win across the state. The long-standing swing state has recently become a Republican trend, with many female voters still in favor of the president.
“”Rachel Antonelli, 35, a banker in Delaware, Ohio, who is pregnant with her second child, says, “How can you vote for Trump if you are a woman and what he says about women?” I have heard of. And I will vote for Trump. “Personally, what I care about is that he gets things done for the country... “
The Republican Party has focused on “law and order” since the summer of racial justice protests and national unrest, arousing racial horror, and the only wealthy white family in the increasingly diversified suburbs. By portraying it as a state, he tried to bring back a white suburban woman. .. According to William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, whites made up 77% of the population in the inner suburbs in 1990. He said it was 58% today.
The women in Columbus are all white, saying that the killing of George Floyd was a significant event in political awakening and drew attention beyond personal scope to the issue of racism and police violence.
“”I’m not going to lie, as I was worried about American racism in February, “said Rabinovic, who has a four-year-old son. “Similarly, I wasn’t.”
The video of Floyd’s murder made her acknowledge the structural problems of American society, she said.
“”I have to think about everyone, “she said. “So if I’m voting against Donald Trump, it’s not a vote for me or a vote for my son. It’s a vote for everyone. Everyone’s son.”
In the last few months of the campaign, the pandemic and its chained impact on schools and the economy deepened opposition to Trump among female voters.
Unlike some women in her social circle, Andrea Granieri knew four years ago that she couldn’t support Trump. Growing up in a conservative Catholic family, her vote for Hillary Clinton was the first she cast in the Democratic Party.
“”I’ve just seen how he talked to and treated a woman with her daughter, who was three at the time, “said Granieri, 34, who lives in Anderson Towne Center, a suburb of Cincinnati. “It was like I couldn’t put a check next to his name.”
After Clinton’s defeat, Granieri realized that he was increasingly engaged in the local Democratic cause. After the pandemic began, her involvement escalated and she realized she was doing a full-time job at a charter school and homeschooling her child with the pressure of her husband losing some of her work. It was.
“Did I feel like you understood?” She said. “Similarly, I’m crazy at the end here. And you don’t know. You’re not sending help. I don’t know how long this should be... “
A Facebook post she wrote about her dissatisfaction with the state’s Republican leadership caught local attention and became part of a campaign email for candidates for the State Senate.
“”Since 2016, I’ve taken it for granted, so I regret so much — I just thought Hillary would win, “Granieiri said. “I decided not to regret this time on November 4th.”