Poll polarization in Peru fails to produce a clear winner

Peru’s presidential election has ended with a technical dead heat, increasing the likelihood of continued controversy over results and the possibility of recounting.

Right-wing populist Keiko Fujimori was slightly ahead of left-wing rival Pedro Castillo, at 50.3 percent, compared to his 49.7 percent, according to an exit poll released by Ipsos.

It sparked a celebration from Fujimori’s supporters, who went out into the city of Lima and waved the orange flag of a popular force party.

However, three hours later, election officials released aggregates based on early official results, with Castillo 50.2% and Fujimori 49.8%, much like exit polls. Castillo cast a ballot on Sunday. Her supporters became quiet while Castillo was celebrating in Takabamba, a high-altitude town in the northern Andes.

In the official update, Fujimori took the lead again, this time 52.9% against Castillo’s 47.1.

Both candidates said it could take several days for complete results. They warned of possible violence at the end of the most polarized campaign in Latin American history and sought patience in their respective camps.

“I think it will be at least Thursday before we get the full results,” said Dennis Rodriguez Olivari, a political analyst in Lima. “At least for now, things seem calm. Let’s hope it stays the same.”

Elections have become an extraordinary battle between populists on the other side of the political spectrum.

Castillo turned from a local elementary school teacher to a left-wing populist, and Fujimori is widely disliked as the daughter of Peruvian dictator Alberto Fujimori. Neither seems to be equipped To address serious Peruvian problems such as coronavirus pandemics, corruption, inequality, poverty and political internal conflict.

According to an exit poll, Keiko Fujimori (center), daughter of former President Alberto Fujimori, won 50.3% of the votes. © AFP via Getty Images

Financial markets are in tension.Castillo’s Victory Prospects Caused panic and capital flight Among the Peruvian elite. According to Scotiabank, Sol has fallen against the dollar more than any other currency in the world since the first vote in April when Castillo first appeared. The dollar-Sol trade has been in the last month. Increased by about 20%.

Castillo’s party, the Peruvian Libre, is the world’s largest producer of copper, zinc and precious metals, led by Marxists who advocate nationalization, tax increases, a new constitution and import restrictions. In contrast, Fujimori It mainly defends Peru’s economic model.

“If Keiko wins, it’s good for the market, and if copper prices remain the same, it will be relatively easy to stimulate the economy for the rest of the year,” said former Minister of Economy Alfredo Thorne. It was.

“But I still have to wait until all the votes are counted, and I think there are still some ups and downs before I know who won.”

Since winning the first round with only 18.9%, Castillo has inspired the poor and abandoned villagers of the Andes.

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Fujimori’s ambition to become Peru’s first female president is complicated by allegations of corruption she denies. Prosecutors accuse her of being the head of a criminal gang and should be sentenced to 30 years in prison. say.

Many middle-class Peruvians say she dislikes and distrusts her while voting for Castillo to keep Castillo out of power. They say he and his supporters are communists and if Some have accused them of being terrorists.

“I don’t want my country to be the next Venezuela or Cuba, so I’ll vote for Keiko.” Last week in Trujillo.

Both sides suggest that the other may steal the election. Coronavirus pandemic backgroundPeru raised its death toll from less than 70,000 to 180,000 last week, making it the highest per capita death in the world. Many voters wore plastic face shields when they went to vote.

Poll polarization in Peru fails to produce a clear winner

Source link Poll polarization in Peru fails to produce a clear winner

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