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Possible Vaccine Timeline-New York Times

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A committee of scientific advisors yesterday released the first guidelines on who should be vaccinated with the first coronavirus vaccine. This is a recommendation that affects state policy across the country.

Here are some obvious questions that come to mind for many: I Do you expect to be vaccinated? There is still a lot of uncertainty, but it is possible to lay out a rough forecast timeline. I did so below with the help of public health professionals and colleagues dealing with viruses.

December: As recommended by the Panel, healthcare professionals and nursing home residents will be the first to receive the vaccine.

The combination of Pfizer and Moderna vaccines could make up to 40 million doses available to Americans by the end of this year. This is enough to vaccinate 3 million people living in long-term care facilities and most of the country’s 21 million health care workers.

January: Please note that a second dose is required after a few weeks for both the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines to be effective. Therefore, the first batch of 40 million doses is sufficient to vaccinate only 20 million people.

Pfizer and Moderna are likely to ship about 70 million doses a month by early next year, Federal Vaccine Chief Executive Officer Monsef Slawi told The Washington Post yesterday. According to my colleague Katie Thomas, people will probably receive shots at clinics, hospitals, pharmacies, and clinics specially made in several places.

February and March: The next priority group could be people over the age of 65, especially those over the age of 75. People with medical conditions who are at risk of dying when infected. Essential workers in education, food, transportation, law enforcement and more.

The exception to this second wave of vaccinated people may be those who are already infected with the virus and have been immune to the virus for at least a period of time.

If other companies in addition to Pfizer and Moderna get the vaccine approval, the total number of monthly shipments could reach 150 million by March, Slawi said.

April, May, June: The most likely scenario is to start vaccination by spring, even for those who do not qualify as a priority, such as healthy, non-essential workers under the age of 65. The majority of Americans were vaccinated by early summer.

Even after that happens, the vaccine may not be 100% effective and life will not return to normal immediately. As Johns Hopkins epidemiologist Katelyn Rivers told me, “people are still at risk.”

However, these risks will be small compared to today’s risks. Treatments continue to improve and the mortality rate of people infected with the virus is declining. And widespread vaccination sharply reduces its spread and helps protect even those who are ineffective. Rivers predicted that social gatherings would be common again and would be nearly safe by the summer.

With all that in mind, spring isn’t too far away. This is another reason why people will make special efforts in the coming months to avoid unnecessary risks such as dining in a restaurant or gathering indoors with friends.

What questions do you still have about vaccines? Please tell me here. We will answer some of them in future newsletters.

Morning reading: With a history of 1,020 years in Kyoto, Japan, Mochiya has endured wars, epidemics and natural disasters and has provided resilience lessons.

From opinion: Farhad Manju has a column, and Thomas Friedman talks to Biden.

Live live: In the 1990s, conservation biologist Georgina Mace rewrote the Global Red List to explain which species are having problems, warning that the world needs to restore its ecological balance or pay a high price. .. Dr. Mace died at the age of 67.


Subscriber support helps enable Times journalism. If you haven’t subscribed yet, consider subscribing now.

“Musicians are also people,” said John Palais, one of the Times’ pop music critics. In 2020. “

This morning, the Times released a list of the best albums of the year, and you can see some of those big 2020 themes on it. This list contains entries created at home by Taylor Swift and Charli XCX during quarantine. There were also very personal works by artists such as Fiona Apple and Burna Boy, as well as introspective and political albums like Run The Jewels’ latest.

One broader trend: the distinction between genres is collapsing. “The line between pop, pop-punk, auto-tuned R & B, and hip-hop-the line that felt really real in the 90’s, 80’s, and even the 2000’s-is meaningless under the age of 20. “.” Says Jon Caramanica, a pop music critic at The Times. “For young artists, such boundaries and strict rules don’t really matter.”

You can find the best albums of 2020 here, along with a list focused on jazz and classical music.

Yesterday’s spelling bee pangram Mobility And Immovable.. Today’s puzzles are above — or you can play online if you have a game subscription.

Here are some of today’s mini crosswords and clues: Dropped on a Boston accent (3 letters).


Thank you for spending part of the morning at the Times. See you tomorrow. — David

PS Forbes has named Astead Herndon, a Times reporter in charge of national affairs, on the annual 30 Under 30 list.

Possible Vaccine Timeline-New York Times

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