Riverside, California 2020-09-29 10:14:25 –
AUSTIN — After two polls last showed President Donald Trump opening a modest lead over Democratic nominee Joe Biden in Texas, a survey released Monday put the candidates in a tie as the race heads toward its final month.
The poll conducted Sept. 25-2 by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling, shows each candidate pulling 48% with the remainder unsure. Trump is drawing strength from white voters and those above age 59 while Biden scores well with voters under 45. Hispanics give the Democrat a near 2-1 edge and almost nine out of every 10 African-American respondents choose Biden.
The poll’s sample of 612 voters is comparatively small, which gives it a margin of error of about 4 percentage points.
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Several polls over the summer have shown a single-single digit race in Texas, which as gone for the Republican candidate in every presidential election since 1980. A poll released in late July by Quinnipiac University in New York put Trump ahead by just a single percentage point – 45-44.
Just over a month later, the Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler poll had Trump up by 2 points.
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But on Thursday, Quinnipiac showed the president’s lead at 5 points. And on its heals came a New York Times poll showing the incumbent leading by 3.
Four years ago, Trump bested Democrat Hillary Clinton by a comfortable 9 percentage points in Texas. But his margin of victory was less than the 12-point advantage Republican John McCain had over Barack Obama in 2008 and the 16-point spread between Mitt Romney and Obama four years later.
Key dates in the 2020 election
The last day to register to vote is Oct. 5.
Early voting for the November election begins Oct. 13 and ends Oct. 30.
Texans who are eligible to vote by mail must have their application for mail-in ballots in the hands of election officials by Oct. 23. A application postmarked Oct. 23 but arriving at the elections office later will be rejected.
Mailed-in ballots without postmarks must be received by local elections officials by 7 p.m. Nov. 3, which is Election Day. Mailed-in ballots that are postmarked must be received by 5 p.m. Nov. 4.
Mailed-in ballots from members of the military and from Americans who are overseas must be postmarked by Nov. 3 and received by local elections officials by Nov. 9.
John C. Moritz covers Texas government and politics for the USA Today Network in Austin. Contact him at firstname.lastname@example.org and follow him on Twitter @JohnnieMo.