Right-wing populists bet four years after Trump | 2020 US elections

IHungary’s far-right Prime Minister, Victor Orban, said, “We are supporting Donald Trump’s next victory.” In Rio de Janeiro, Jair Bolsonaro is depicted in the Trump 2020 Campaign Hat.

Right-wing nationalist politicians around the world have abandoned the usual diplomatic etiquette of hedging bets before foreign elections, instead saying that Trump can again confuse voters and win for another four years. In anticipation, power is throwing solid support behind Trump in a US vote in November.

Research shows that the majority of the world’s population opposes Trump, but the rebellious far-right movement is wary of returning to geopolitics as usual when he leaves the White House.

“We are very familiar with the foreign policy of the US Democratic administration, which is built on moral imperialism,” he said, placing himself as a major supporter of Europe’s “undiliberal democracy.” The established Orban wrote in a recent essay. “We tasted it-although it was compelled. We didn’t like it and wouldn’t want to help it again.”

Last week, Trump challenger Joe Biden elicited a ferocious reaction from Hungarian authorities, with “all thugs around the world” inspired by Trump to confirm the names of Hungarian and Polish governments. Said that.

For Olburn and other nationalist leaders, Trump’s second phase may have concrete policy benefits, but the biggest attraction is that politicians like Trump are the most important positions in the world. It is an immeasurable psychological benefit of getting a job. If Biden wins, it may be considered a sign that the populist moment is over.

“It will be seen as a major failure of populist nationalism as a governing ideology, especially when society is looking for a capable leader who can survive the Covid crisis and steer its own country,” said Erin, a professor of international affairs. Christine Jenne said. Central European University.

During the 2016 split campaign and during his tenure, Trump has provided right-wing nationalists with blueprints and psychological support.

Agoston Muraz, who runs the parent government’s Nespon Institute in Budapest, said Orban and his Fides party have been careful about Trump over the past few years, for example by adopting and adapting his “America’s first” rhetoric. He said he was watching. Orban, who has been in office for over a decade, now frequently talks about “Hungary’s first” policy.

“Trump is a trendsetter, managed by Trump in the United States, and can even be learned by parties like Fides. Observed what tools Trump is using and public opinion in Hungary. Through the investigation, it will be checked if it works here, “he said.

Of particular note is Trump’s dissemination of the phrase “fake news” and his anger at the media. The Orban administration frequently denounces important means of peddling fake news, and its coronavirus countermeasures include potential prison time for journalists to disseminate false information about pandemics.

The phrase “fake news” is also used by authorities to justify regulations and prosecutions in South Korea, Thailand, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Brazil. The Egyptian government passed a law criminalizing the spread of’false news’in 2018, prosecuting at least 19 journalists, bloggers, and even people posting videos online condemning issues such as sexual harassment. .. In the Philippines, Rodrigo Duterte has countered the “fake news” press and has imposed high fines on news that undermines “national interests or credibility.”

A recent European poll found that less than 20% of respondents in each of the seven countries surveyed wanted Trump to win. However, there is praise for Trump among some Central European governments and many far-right parties around politics elsewhere.

Victor Orban and Donald Trump at the White House in May 2019. Photo: Mark Wilson / Getty Images

With the exception of Orban, the largest European supporter of the US President is in Warsaw. There, the ruling law and the Justice (PiS) party pursued agendas based on so-called “family values,” including sustained anti-LGBT campaigns. In June, PiS ally Andrzej Duda visited Washington for support from Trump a few days before the fiercely contested presidential vote he finally won. Duda has not yet repaid the compliment, but in August PiS MEP Dominique Tartunsky compared Trump with Pope John Paul II of Poland, I have written On Twitter: “Polish people will support you on November 3rd.”

Other European fans include Slovenian populist Prime Minister Janez Janša. He takes a Trump-like approach to the media and his political opponents.Yansha after a TV debate on Trump Biden last month I have written Trump has often praised the US president’s policies and speeches, saying he “wins big.”

Western European far-right parties, such as Spain’s Vox and the increasingly popular Brothers of Italy, also speak of Trump and his strategy as direct inspiration. “It’s inspiration in many ways. It’s about using patriotism to combat globalism,” said Iván Espinosadelos Monteros, a Vox parliamentary spokesman and deputy secretary of international affairs.

“It’s also about ignoring political correctness that hasn’t been successfully challenged, and the ideas left by the very globalists are a series of mantras and ideas that everyone accepts and treats as absolute truth. I imposed, but he challenged it and challenged it very well. “

He added that Trump’s defeat would be bad news “not for Spain or Vox, but for the traditional Western values ​​that made the West the most livable place in history.”

Prior to the 2016 US elections, Italy’s far-right league leader Matteo Salvini traveled to the United States and took pictures with Trump in Philadelphia. Trump later denied that they had met, but that did not undermine Salvini’s praise. Last week he declared his support by wearing a “Trump 2020” face mask during a protest outside the Roman tax office. He said Trump was “number one” when it came to the economy, despite the turmoil of the coronavirus pandemic.

Giorgia Meloni, the leader of the Italian brothers and former deputy prime minister, traveled to the United States in February to hear Trump speak, after which he said: “This is the recipe we want to bring to Italy. Products, our company, our borders, and our family.”

Perhaps Trump’s biggest fan among world leaders is Bolsonaro, who has been bathed in his portrayal as “Tropical Trump.” Brazilian leaders, with the minister at Brasilia’s ambassador’s residence to celebrate US Independence Day, repeatedly posted photos of the pair on social media as Trump’s re-election hopes diminished, perhaps with the US president. Promote unbreakable bonds. His politician’s son, Eduardo, has asked Trump to award the Nobel Peace Prize, and he often shares Trump’s election promotion on Twitter.

Observers say Bolsonaro seeks inspiration and domestic legitimacy from his North American counterpart. Bolsonalista officials trumpeted Trump’s approval as evidence that their right-wing revolution is on the right track and is part of the wider global conservative and Christian movement led by Washington. ing.

Jair Bolsonaro and Donald Trump in March 2020
Jair Bolsonaro having dinner with Trump at Marago Resort in Palm Beach, Florida in March this year. Photo: Tom Brenner / Reuters

Unlike Bolsonaro, Duterte does not consciously position himself as a Trump-like person, but they share the same ideological perspective and sometimes vulgar rhetoric. The Philippine president said Trump deserves to be re-elected this year, and the leak of phone records praised Trump for doing “incredible work” in the fight against illegal drugs. Shows-Campaigns estimated by some groups are thousands of extrajudicial killings.

This White House sanctions on controversial policies is one of the reasons why even populists who may not be ideologically consistent with Trump see the benefits of the turmoil caused by his presence at the White House. Analysts say Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan is rushing through various policies, including domestic crackdowns and the acquisition of Russia’s S-400 missile, in anticipation that the Biden administration may take stricter policies. Is called.

In Mexico, left-wing populist president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (known as Amuro) has formed an unlikely bond with Trump, who has begun his first presidential campaign by swearing at Mexicans. It was. Amuro traveled to Washington as the election season heats up, celebrating a new trade deal and thanking Trump for treating Mexico with “respect.” Trump has, in turn, repeatedly praised Amuro as a “great man.” This is the pride of the supporters of the President of Mexico.

Carlos Bravo Residor, a political analyst in Mexico City, said, “Unorthodox presidents like Trump allow Amuro to escape not allowing a more ordinary American president to escape him. I will do it. “

For Hungarian and Polish leaders, who are often reprimanded by EU politicians for their democratic recession, making the White House an ally provides a strong offset against criticism from Brussels, especially in the domestic message. ..

Peter Creco, who runs a political capital think tank in Budapest, explained Orban’s thoughts: “If Trump is on my side, no one can call me a leader excluded from the foreign policy community. “.

If Trump isn’t there anymore, the equation changes. Under Biden, what Orban called “moral imperialism” and what Democrats called value-based foreign policy may come back. During the course of the campaign, Biden accused Brazil of Bolsonaro of destroying the rainforest, Beaten up With the Polish government’s anti-LGBT policy.

Critics of right-wing politicians snuggling up to the US president say they are preparing their country for even rougher vehicles under the Biden administration. “Without Trump, Brazil could become an international zombie,” political commentator Elian Kantanhede warned in a conservative São Paulo estad this week.

Additional reports by David Agren of Mexico City, Angela Giuffrida of Rome, Sam Jones of Madrid, Rebecca Ratcliffe and Michael Safi

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