Colorado Springs, Colorado 2021-03-12 10:04:58 –
We are heading for the weekend. I’ve answered many questions about the arrival of the storm in the last few days, but there are still some unclear points about the storm. We have been working really hard to provide you with the information you need to plan, while being honest with you about the challenges that exist in spring-like storms moving across the Rocky Mountains to the plateau. I personally enjoy taking you into the prediction process, and I think you’ve found something that’s insightful or interesting.
We still expect the center of the storm to appear in eastern Colorado from late Saturday night to early Sunday. Storms are more and more likely to actually end around the long-term climatological average of where these storms go … Along the Arkansas River. See for yourself using the comparison tools below.
Tonight the snow will move to the mountains and by Saturday morning the pass will be full of snow. If you are traveling to a ski resort, keep that in mind. Please note that it may snow on Saturday afternoons in the highlands. You may have a very slow and rewarding drive trying to get home. Most ski resorts orbit and snow more than a foot before the end of the storm.
Things get even more complicated with the transition from mountains to plains in southern Colorado.
The most difficult forecast for the weekend is how much snow it will snow in the Pikes Peak area. As you know, the terrain is very different in the center of the display area. Pikes Peak is 12 miles west of Colorado Springs, with about 8,000 feet of fall in those 12 miles. Some of the snow that falls on Saturday, especially in the lower part of the Pikes Peak area, can melt when the first part of the storm touches. This effect diminishes as you go up, but it’s certainly a difficult prediction! Part of Saturday will be below freezing in Colorado Springs (yes, it often snows when the air is below freezing!).
In general, the more north you go, the more you reach across El Paso and Teller counties. The lower and souther you are, the less you will be. Behind the scenes, when making predictions, incorporates various volatility and unknowns. In understanding the most probable results, look at the probability, or the likelihood of different amounts of snow in different regions. This is what you present on TV. And online As our “official” prediction. Here are some examples of several different regions with storms this weekend.
In addition to how much, when tackling the effects we see, we must try to understand the characteristics of snow. The biggest question I still have as of Friday morning is whether the snow in the Pikes Peak area remains wet and heavy throughout the storm. If so, when it hits the ground, it will not be blown or drifted. If part of the storm can be a little fluffy, there are more ways to blow it off or drift. This is important in determining if a snowstorm will occur on Sunday.
Combined with its unknowns and the peak of gusts that look like 45-50 mph instead of 55-60 mph on Sunday, the threat of a snowstorm this morning looks a bit low.
Snow, wind, rain, thunder all likely this weekend Source link Snow, wind, rain, thunder all likely this weekend