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UK covid-19 warning | economist

AT FIRST THE Government-focused support (surge vaccination, wastewater testing, etc.) where the covid-19 Delta variant (known at the time as B.1.617.2) was established. Now that it’s ubiquitous and accounts for 90% of cases, support is expanding. From Bolton and South London to Birmingham, Blackpool, Cheshire, Chester, Liverpool and Warrington. The battle to defeat the variant has been lost. The current purpose is to prevent the case from swirling.

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Ministers and modelers have little hope that these measures and vaccination campaigns that have hit more than six out of ten British people will protect hospitals. As a result, on June 14, Boris Johnson announced that it would postpone the reopening “Stage 4” from June 21st to July 19th, allowing for large-scale events and indoor gatherings of six or more people. The government is also considering long-term plans, such as ways to improve public ventilation and encourage people to return to the office.

The postponement reflects both bad luck and bad policy. According to the UK Public Health Service (PHE), The Delta variant is about 60% more transmissible than the Alpha (formerly Kent) variant, and the Alpha (formerly Kent) variant is more transmissible than the previous one. The new wave is spreading among young British people who are likely to be unvaccinated or receive only a single dose. PHE Studies have shown that the prevention of infection with the delta mutant is one-third as effective as the alpha mutant. The extra delay before relaxing the restrictions means more second jabs, as good as preventing hospitalization.

Vaccine Minister Nadhim Zahawi said deployment would have been faster if there had been a joint committee on vaccination and vaccination ()JCVIWe do not recommend providing non-AstraZeneca jabs to people under the age of 40 in response to rare blood clots. This raises two questions. Did you follow the advice correctly?The· JCVI Other jabs were recommended only if there was no “substantial delay” in vaccination. And will that advice change? There is no case number threshold to reverse that, but the Commission is on the lookout for risk and benefit calculations as the number of cases increases.

The UK is in a better position than most of the rich world to survive new varieties (see graph). Sir John Bell of Oxford University predicts that “countries taking a poorer approach will face major problems.” He says that the high number of cases of Delta probably reflects the fact that many people infected with it arrived in the UK early. Johnson’s delay in adding India to the country’s “Red List” seems ridiculous due to strict travel restrictions. The vaccine means that mistakes are likely to prove less fatal than the previous ones, and is almost comfortable for hedonists who are anxious for a reopening or a party. Not. ■■

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This article was published in the UK section of the printed version under the heading “British Warning”.

UK covid-19 warning | economist

Source link UK covid-19 warning | economist

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