New Orleans, Louisiana 2022-05-29 04:05:20 –
New Orleans-“Usually I feel ready,” Susan Morley Zender, a resident of New Orleans, Louisiana, told VOA when asked about the next start of the hurricane season.
The hurricane season is a six-month period from June 1st to the end of November, when many of the US states and Atlantic coasts along the Gulf of Mexico are at greatest risk of being devastated by tropical cyclones and hurricanes.
Meteorologists pondering data and meteorological models create a particularly dangerous season for Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, and Louisiana, one of the most stormy states in history in the United States. I agree that there is a possibility.
Stormy Repeat: NOAA Predicts Busy Atlantic Hurricane Season
“We anticipate a 65% chance that the 2022 hurricane season will be higher than usual,” Matthew Rosenkranz, hurricane outlook forecaster at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), told VOA. If Rosencrans is correct, this will be above normal for the seventh consecutive year.
Although the exact number of landing storms cannot be predicted, NOAA has experienced 14-21 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes, and 3-6 major hurricanes in the waters surrounding the region this week. Announced the prospect of doing so.
This is horrifying news for South Louisiana residents, who are particularly exposed due to their proximity to the Gulf.
“And the news is even worse because we’ve had a difficult year in a row for several years,” Morley-Zender said.
Her home is still damaged by Hurricane Aida, who struck Louisiana as a Category 4 storm last August with a wind of 240 km / h.
Aida, the second most violent hurricane in Louisiana’s history, has damaged and destroyed homes and lost electricity to hundreds of thousands of inhabitants.
“We’re suffering $ 145,000 in damage and it’s an impossible time for an insurance company to cover it,” Morley-Zender said. “Our roof is still damaged and our house needs to be burned down, but here comes another hurricane season.”
Morley-Zender said she wasn’t alone.
“I was back home recently, and you could still see the hundreds of blue tarpaulins covering the roof,” she said. “I haven’t recovered yet.”
Louisiana’s tendency to be hit directly by hurricanes has been well documented since the arrival of the first French settlers and began to set records. But experts point out that this problem has worsened in recent years.
Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist at Colorado State University’s Faculty of Atmospheric Sciences, said: “In the last two years, Louisiana has had six landed named storms, four of which were hurricanes and three of which were large. By comparison, the state was in 2006-2019. There was no one major hurricane. “
What Causes Recent Increases in Hurricanes and Tropical Storms in the Gulf of Mexico? According to experts, it is the confluence of many factors.
Eighty-five percent of these storms occur in the Atlantic Ocean between West Africa and the Caribbean. In the recent hurricane season, the vast Bermuda-Azores high-pressure function has been deployed to guide more storm systems from the Atlantic Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico.
“Warmer water in the Gulf of Mexico makes the storm stronger than it would otherwise,” said Xubin Zeng, director of Climate Dynamics and Hydrometeorology Collaborative at the University of Arizona.
According to So, these warm waters are due to climate change, but also due to the cyclical pattern of decades of heating and cooling of the ocean. We are now in the “warm” part of the cycle, increasing the likelihood of stronger storms.
In addition to the confluence of factors, there is a Pacific La Niña climate pattern that affects both Pacific and Atlantic storms.
“El Nino can send strong winds to the eastern United States and act to crush tropical cyclones and hurricanes, while La Niña can have less wind and more storms.
“In addition, in recent years there has been something called the Loop Current, located in a particular area of the Gulf of Mexico, supercharging hurricanes to the Gulf Coast,” he continued. “It’s warmer water and that’s how Hurricane Katrina and-recently-Hurricane Aida could be very strong. So far this season, Loop Current has been positioned to do the same. It seems that.”
According to Zen, 2005, when Hurricane Katrina landed, and 2021, when Aida landed, were two of the most active hurricane seasons on record. Through his work at the University of Arizona, he believes this year will be more like last year than 2005.
No one wants to repeat 2005, with Katrina killing more than 1,000 people and killing more than $ 100 billion, but this year’s forecast is that Gulf residents are still recovering from past hurricanes. Still bad news for.
“I’m exhausted,” Chris Sisk told VOA. Sisk is a Louisiana bankruptcy and debt settlement attorney. Many of his clients struggle to pay their mortgages while overseeing the repairs of hurricane-damaged homes. “You are dealing with the aftermath of a big hurricane, or in preparation for another hurricane, imagine the worst and how it will affect you and your family. Your income is limited. For people, it’s just difficult. “
For example, in the Terrebonne and Lafourche Parish communities in southern Louisiana, more than 5,000 families are still living or waiting in temporary FEMA homes while the hurricane-damaged homes have not been repaired.
Anna Nguyen, Director of NOLA Ready Communications, Department of Homeland Security and Emergency Response, New Orleans, said:
Still, city, state and federal officials say they are working hard to make sure New Orleans is ready in the event of a storm landing this year.
According to Nguyen, Hurricane Ida relies on low-income residents, the elderly, people without housing, people without vehicles, people in need of uninterrupted health care, or energy-powered health care. He showed the city government how important it is to prioritize the most vulnerable people, such as the inhabitants who do. device.
However, despite such efforts, challenges remain.
Experts say, for example, the area’s recent tragic history has had a deadly storm, but residents’ plea to prepare for the hurricane season can be inaudible.
“Many people take the hurricane season seriously, especially after the devastating storms of recent years, but some are happy, especially if their homes are intact and escape the storm. “AccuWeather’s chief hurricane forecaster, Dancotrowski, told VOA.
According to Kotlowski, the hurricane “Aida” is a good example. New Orleans, the region’s largest city, wasn’t struck by the storm. If the hurricane drifted only 25km east, the damage could have been even more serious.
“There are a lot of old inhabitants who can list all these storms that have survived for years, but they miss a really important point. I’m not talking about the storm 30 years ago anymore. Today’s hurricanes are moving over warm water. They are more frequent and stronger, and you now need to prepare for them. “
This is an annual process that many Gulf residents are working on as the hurricane season approaches. They confirm that the generator is functioning, that the evacuation plan is in place, and that the emergency supply of food and water is ready.
It’s a scary time for many and inconvenient for everyone. In recent years, some have opted to leave rather than endanger the uncertainty of another stormy season.
But most people decide to stay.
“It’s my home,” explained electrician Timothy Smith of New Orleans. “This is one of the pains of living in one of the best cities in the world.”
US Gulf Coast Preps for Another Dangerous Hurricane Season Source link US Gulf Coast Preps for Another Dangerous Hurricane Season