USA

A Democratic victory may be a miracle, but America is still divided in the middle.Michael Cohen

M.The US midterm elections are where the hopes and dreams of the ruling party die. The ruling party has been losing since 1932 28 seats on average 4 seats in the House and 4 seats in the Senate. In 2018, two years after winning the White House and both houses, Republicans lost. 40 seats and chamber control. In 2010, Democrats lost 63 seats. In 1994 he had 54 seats and her eight Senate seats. Every two years, after electing a new president, voters go to the polls with buyer’s remorse, generally speaking.

But not this year. In a truly astounding result, the Democrats reversed a historic trendline and, at least for the time being, saved American democracy from the worst excesses of the Republican Party led by Donald Trump.

All votes should be tallied, Democratic Party There is an outside chance to retain control of the Senate and a narrow majority in the House. Earlier this year, such a scenario was almost unimaginable. Democrats faced not only historical headwinds, but also rising inflation, a wobbly economy, and an unpopular incumbent president. Traditionally, these are the kinds of political dynamics that portend his November Republican victory.

However, in June the Supreme Court Overturned Law vs. Wade,It was deleted 50-year constitutional guarantee It protected the right to reproductive health and transformed American women into second-class citizens virtually overnight. Democrats in Congress achieved many notable legislative successes over the summer, with President Biden announcing: Billions of Dollars in Student Loan Forgivenessfulfilling a promise he made during the 2020 presidential election.

By the fall, the political winds had turned in a Democratic direction, and no bigger issue had surfaced than abortion. A referendum held in Ruby Red Kansas in August was supposed to make it easier for Republicans in the state legislature to outlaw the proceedings. 18 points.

Democratic campaign advisers took a cue from Kansas to make abortion a centerpiece of the fall campaign. Democrats also won decisive victories in states where Republican victories could have led to tighter abortion restrictions, such as Michigan and Pennsylvania. In the suburbs, college-educated white women, the new lynchpin of the Democratic coalition, were outraged by the Supreme Court ruling, spurring House Democrats to victory in a toss-up race.

Republicans have compounded the problem by nominating a number of Trump-backed first-time senators and gubernatorial candidates. The closer Republicans are to Trump, the worse Tuesday’s outcome.

In fact, for months, political commentators have portrayed the 2022 elections as potentially the end of American democracy. State by state, parroting Trump’s lies about the 2020 election, election naysayers seemed poised to take office. But across the board they lost. Even more positively, while Trump still refuses to accept that he has lost his presidency, Joe Biden, his enablers and psychofans in the Republican Party (“Grand Old Party”) refused to follow the same script. Virtually every Republican who lost the election (including the election naysayers) conceded defeat, the best indication that American democracy has been strong for quite some time.

That’s good news, but as with all of American politics these days, it’s virtually impossible for us to have a great one. His reign is not over yet. This week he is set to announce his third candidacy for the White House, and while many Republican leaders want him to leave, a great many ordinary Republicans are as well. I don’t feel

It’s easy to criticize Mr. Trump’s low approval ratings, but Mr. Trump didn’t point a gun at the Republican president and force him to vote for his favorite candidate. These are still the types of politicians Republican voters want, and there’s little reason to expect them to be ready to dump Trump.

What makes things worse for Republicans is that they can’t win the presidential nomination no matter what. Democrats have won the last three US elections, largely against Trump. If he’s the Republican nominee again, there’s no reason to expect 2024 to be any different.

What if Trump loses? If there’s one thing we know about the former president, it’s that he’s a light-skinned narcissist who cares about no one but himself. If you compare him to Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who just won a landslide victory for re-election, you can expect him not to react well. There will not be a moment at the Republican National Convention where Trump and DeSantis will hold hands in party unity. Instead, Trump will likely treat himself the same way he did after losing to Biden — again claiming fraud and denigrating DeSantis to his supporters. I’d rather see Biden win re-election than see him accomplish a feat he couldn’t.

But more than that, the final numbers for the House and Senate tell an important story. (The tie vote in the Senate is U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris). In the House, the most likely outcome is for Republicans to dominate in an incredibly narrow range, between her one seat and her three. The Governor is evenly split on his 25 to 25.

America is almost completely divided between Democrats and Republicans, with neither party able to unite a de facto majority. From their point of view, they have merely ratified the status quo of the United States as a divided and divided nation.

Michael Cohen’s latest book, co-authored with Maika Zenko, clear and current safety

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/nov/13/democrats-victory-miraculous-but-us-still-split-down-middle A Democratic victory may be a miracle, but America is still divided in the middle.Michael Cohen

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