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Why DeSantis will lose to Trump in the Republican primary

Consider for a moment what Donald Trump is giving the average supporter. Members of a vast nationwide community of like-minded people. A father figure in a chaotic world. The Intensity of Sin: It’s not often in life that a middle-aged white man plays a rebel.

Besides all this, what is the slight advantage of seeing him win an actual election? What? No doubt Trump fans would rather have these bonus items than none. But he did them a deep emotional, almost spiritual service before he got there.

It’s not clear if Ron DeSantis understands this about populism.he won’t do it until he does kick out trump As a leader of the movement in the United States. The governor of Florida touts electoral potential and executive power. But if either of these were top of mind for voters in the Republican primary, the race would already be over.

Trump lost the 2018 midterm elections and the 2020 presidential election. He is the only president in more than 80 years of American history. Gallup poll You will never get a score of 50 percent. The electoral histories of Republican candidates who have stamped his seal are mixed at best. Even with the widely held fallacy that he was removed from office for a second term, I know in my heart that DeSantis or Nikki Haley will do better in the 2024 national election. There must be a lot of Trump fans. Neither gives them a sense of belonging to a tribe like his. Neither will upset liberals too much.

The governor’s other boast of executive power is even less important. Just because liberals have always feared the emergence of capable demagogues doesn’t mean populist voters yearn for them as much. How much ground has President Trump lost by failing to build a wall on the Mexican border? How much of that went to Joe Biden as a thank you for passing the greatest protectionist bill in memory?

DeSantis is logical, but a poor man.He thinks that modern politics is Are doing thing. That it is about belonging, about displacing the collective identity that people once got from church and trade unions, is lost from his rationalist point of view. In this respect, he has a liberal way of thinking. The Left is forever trying to “answer” populist concerns by restoring industrial jobs or devolving power. This is so sweet. And indeed, perhaps in the beginning, populism was about concrete grievances. But around 2016, once people took sides, being a member of that group meant more to them. (Like a long war, when the original cause is lost to the belligerents.) Trump recognizes this more clearly than his rivals.

DeSantis believes that politics is downstream of culture, that culture is shaped in institutions, and that conservatives have ceded those institutions to the organized left. Gramsci of Tallahassee does more than just diagnose problems. He is creative and relentless in establishing a right-wing anti-hegemony.listen disney. Just ask any Florida education official.

This will require more thought and effort than President Trump has ever put into this cause. It’s also completely irrelevant. I no longer know if populist voters want to win the culture war. Just being there gives it meaning. If anything, they have more identity as a group when they lose than when they win, and they are more cohesive when they are under siege. If I’m right, none of the governor’s allegations against Mr. Trump are as hurtful as he hopes, be it election phobia or boredom of the details.

DeSantis is political vibes theory. It doesn’t matter if he is an honest and capable populist. He “exists” as a creature of the regime. It has to do with his Ivy League and Navy past, his brooding manner of speaking, his seeming correctness (no sexual or financial scandals), and his lack of visual appeal in his neat hair and sober tailoring. . Even his track record as a leader of a great power is against him. No populist worthy of the name would read his gist and implement his ideas with such bureaucratic patience. “Nierlad,” you can imagine President Trump yelling at him like Homer Simpson across the TV debate studio.

So a vocal right-winger with a much more humble background than Trump is made to look like the latest scion of the Bush family. He can comfort himself when he finds himself in the company of his glorious company. Rishi Sunak voted to leave the EU before Boris Johnson. He subsidized people to eat out during a virus pandemic that had no vaccine. What is his reputation among populists? company employee.

janan.ganesh@ft.com

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Consider for a moment what Donald Trump is giving the average supporter. Members of a vast nationwide community of like-minded people. A father figure in a chaotic world. The Intensity of Sin: It’s not often in life that a middle-aged white man plays a rebel. Besides all this, what is the slight advantage of seeing him win an actual election? What? No doubt Trump fans would rather have these bonus items than none. But he did them a deep emotional, almost spiritual service before he got there.It’s not clear if Ron DeSantis understands this about populism.he won’t do it until he does kick out trump As a leader of the movement in the United States. The governor of Florida touts electoral potential and executive power. But if either of these were top of mind for voters in the Republican primary, the race would already be over.Trump lost the 2018 midterm elections and the 2020 presidential election. He is the only president in more than 80 years of American history. Gallup poll You will never get a score of 50 percent. The electoral histories of Republican candidates who have stamped his seal are mixed at best. Even with the widely held fallacy that he was removed from office for a second term, I know in my heart that DeSantis or Nikki Haley will do better in the 2024 national election. There must be a lot of Trump fans. Neither gives them a sense of belonging to a tribe like his. Neither will upset liberals too much. The governor’s other boast of executive power is even less important. Just because liberals have always feared the emergence of capable demagogues doesn’t mean populist voters yearn for them as much. How much ground has President Trump lost by failing to build a wall on the Mexican border? How much of that went to Joe Biden as a thank you for passing the greatest protectionist bill in memory? DeSantis is logical, but a poor man.He thinks that modern politics is Are doing thing. That it is about belonging, about displacing the collective identity that people once got from church and trade unions, is lost from his rationalist point of view. In this respect, he has a liberal way of thinking. The Left is forever trying to “answer” populist concerns by restoring industrial jobs or devolving power. This is so sweet. And indeed, perhaps in the beginning, populism was about concrete grievances. But around 2016, once people took sides, being a member of that group meant more to them. (Like a long war, when the original cause is lost to the belligerents.) Trump recognizes this more clearly than his rivals.DeSantis believes that politics is downstream of culture, that culture is shaped in institutions, and that conservatives have ceded those institutions to the organized left. Gramsci of Tallahassee does more than just diagnose problems. He is creative and relentless in establishing a right-wing anti-hegemony.listen disney. Just ask any Florida education official. This will require more thought and effort than President Trump has ever put into this cause. It’s also completely irrelevant. I no longer know if populist voters want to win the culture war. Just being there gives it meaning. If anything, they have more identity as a group when they lose than when they win, and they are more cohesive when they are under siege. If I’m right, none of the governor’s allegations against Mr. Trump are as hurtful as he hopes, be it election phobia or boredom of the details.DeSantis is political vibes theory. It doesn’t matter if he is an honest and capable populist. He “exists” as a creature of the regime. It has to do with his Ivy League and Navy past, his brooding manner of speaking, his seeming correctness (no sexual or financial scandals), and his lack of visual appeal in his neat hair and sober tailoring. . Even his track record as a leader of a great power is against him. No populist worthy of the name would read his gist and implement his ideas with such bureaucratic patience. “Nierlad,” you can imagine President Trump yelling at him like Homer Simpson across the TV debate studio.So a vocal right-winger with a much more humble background than Trump is made to look like the latest scion of the Bush family. He can comfort himself when he finds himself in the company of his glorious company. Rishi Sunak voted to leave the EU before Boris Johnson. He subsidized people to eat out during a virus pandemic that had no vaccine. What is his reputation among populists? company employee.janan.ganesh@ft.com
https://www.ft.com/content/f0cf9c81-a9df-44c6-b702-1b13120d5a05 Why DeSantis will lose to Trump in the Republican primary

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